Phylodynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmissions in France, Europe and the world during 2020 (preprint)

Background Although France was one of the most affected European countries by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmissions within France, Europe and worldwide remain only partially characterized during the first year of the pandemic. Methods Here, we analyzed GISAID deposited sequences from January to December 2020 (n = 638,706 sequences). To tackle the huge number of sequences without the bias of analyzing a single sequence subset, we produced 100 independent and randomly selected sequence datasets and related phylogenetic trees for different geographic scales (worldwide, European countries and French administrative regions) and time periods (first and second half of 2020). We applied a maximum likelihood discrete trait phylogeographic method to date transmission events and to estimate the geographic spread of SARS-CoV-2 to, from and within France, Europe and worldwide. Results The results unraveled two different patterns of inter- and intra-territory transmission events between the first and second half of 2020. Throughout the year, Europe was systematically associated with most of the intercontinental transmissions, for which France has played a pivotal role. SARS-CoV-2 transmissions with France were concentrated with North America and Europe (mainly Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Belgium and Germany) during the first wave, and were limited to neighboring countries without strong intercontinental transmission during the second one. Regarding French administrative regions, the Paris area was the main source of transmissions during the first wave. But, for the second epidemic wave, it equally contributed to virus spread with Lyon and Marseille area, the two other most densely populated cities in France. Conclusion By enabling the inclusion of tens of thousands of viral sequences, this original phylogenetic strategy enabled us to robustly depict SARS-CoV-2 transmissions through France, Europe and worldwide in 2020.

COVFlow: virus phylodynamics analyses from selected SARS-CoV-2 sequences (preprint)

Phylodynamic analyses generate important and timely data to optimise public health response to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks and epidemics. However, their implementation is hampered by the massive amount of sequence data and the difficulty to parameterise dedicated software packages. We introduce the COVFlow pipeline, accessible at https://gitlab.in2p3.fr/ete/CoV-flow, which allows a user to select sequences from the Global Initiative on Sharing Avian Influenza Data (GISAID) database according to user-specified criteria, to perform basic phylogenetic analyses, and to produce an XML file to be run in the Beast2 software package. We illustrate the potential of this tool by studying two sets of sequences from the Delta variant in two French regions. This pipeline can facilitate the use of virus sequence data at the local level, for instance, to track the dynamics of a particular lineage or variant in a region of interest.

Could faecal viral excretion explain gastrointestinal symptoms in COVID-19 patients: co- infection involvement? (preprint)

Objectives: Physiopathological mechanisms responsible for digestive symptoms during COVID-19 are still unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the influence of faecal viral shedding on digestive symptoms and propose differential diagnoses to better understand the gastrointestinal clinical spectrum during acute COVID-19.Methods: Patients were included if one stool sample was available for microbiological investigation. Microbiological analysis consisted of syndromic PCR screening, and parasitological investigation included microsporidia and multiplex protozoa PCR. SARS-CoV-2 infection was diagnosed by viral detection (on respiratory samples and frozen stool samples) and by serology when necessary. Collected epidemiological, clinical, radiological, biological data and clinical course were compared according to COVID-19 status, faecal SARS-CoV-2 shedding and co-infection status.Results: 50 COVID+ and 67 COVID- patients were included. Faecal viral shedding was detected in 50% of stool samples and was associated with higher viral load in the upper respiratory tract. There was no difference in the proportion of detected enteric pathogens between COVID-19 status. No impact was observed on clinical course regardless of COVID-19 status, faecal SARS-CoV-2 shedding and coinfection status.Conclusions: SARS-CoV-2 shedding and enteric pathogen involvement in gastrointestinal presentation is still unclear. However, differential diagnostic investigation revealed frequently occurring common enteric pathogens in COVID-19 patients.

SARS CoV-2 Genomic Characteristics and Clinical Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Viral Diversity in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study (preprint)

Background: SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern (VOC) α spread worldwide, including in France, at the beginning of 2021. This variant was suggested to be associated with a higher risk of mortality than other variants. Little information is available in the subset of patients with severe disease admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU). We aimed to characterize the genetic diversity of SARS-CoV-2 variants isolated from patients with severe COVID-19 in order to unravel the relationships between specific viral mutations/mutational patterns and clinical outcomes. Methods: : Prospective multicentre observational cohort study. Patients aged ≥18 years admitted in 11 ICUs from Great Paris area hospitals between October 1, 2020, and May 30, 2021 (before the introduction of VOC δ (B.617.2) in France) for acute respiratory failure (SpO2≤90% and need for supplemental oxygen or ventilator support) were included. SARS-CoV-2 infection, determined by RT-PCR testing. The primary clinical endpoint was day-28 mortality. Full-length SARS-CoV-2 genomes were sequenced by means of next-generation sequencing (Illumina COVIDSeq). Results: : 413 patients were included, 183 (44.3%) had been infected with pre-existing variants, 197 (47.7%) with variant α (B.1.1.7), and 33 (8.0%) with other variants. Patients infected with pre-existing variants were significantly older (64.9±11.9 vs 60.5±11.8 years; p=0.0005); they had significantly more frequent COPD (11.5% (n=21/183) vs 4.1% (n=8/197); p=0.009), and higher SOFA score (4 [3-8] vs 3 [2-4]; 0.0002). Day-28 mortality was not different between patients infected with pre-existing, α (B.1.1.7) or other variants (31.1% (n=57/183) vs 26.2% (n=51/197) vs 30.3% (n=10/33), respectively; p=0.550). There was no association between day-28 mortality with a specific variant or the presence of specific mutations in SARS CoV-2 genome, including 17 mutations selected in the spike protein and all 1017 non-synonymous mutations detected throughout the entire viral genome. Conclusions: : At ICU admission, patients infected with pre-existing variants had a different clinical presentation from those infected with variant α (B.1.1.7) and other variants later in the course of the pandemic, but mortality did not differ between these groups. There was no association between a specific variant or SARS CoV-2 genome mutational pattern and day-28 mortality.

The 501Y.V2 SARS-CoV-2 variant has an intermediate viral load between the 501Y.V1 and the historical variants in nasopharyngeal samples from newly diagnosed COVID-19 patients (preprint)

The 501Y.V2 and the 501Y.V1 SARS-CoV-2 variants emerged and spread rapidly into the world. We analysed the RT-PCR cycle threshold values of 643 nasopharyngeal samples of COVID-19 patients at diagnosis and found that the 501Y.V2 variant presented an intermediate viral load between the 501Y.V1 and the historical variants.

Epidemiological and clinical insights from SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR cycle amplification values (preprint)

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has led to an unprecedented daily use of molecular RT-PCR tests. These tests are interpreted qualitatively for diagnosis, and the relevance of the test result intensity, i.e. the number of amplification cycles (Ct), is debated because of strong potential biases. We analyze a national database of tests performed on more than 2 million individuals between January and November 2020. Although we find Ct values to vary depending on the testing laboratory or the assay used, we detect strong significant trends with patient age, number of days after symptoms onset, or the state of the epidemic (the temporal reproduction number) at the time of the test. These results suggest that Ct values can be used to improve short-term predictions for epidemic surveillance.

Viral epidemiology and SARS-CoV-2 coinfections with other respiratory viruses during the first COVID-19 wave in Paris, France (preprint)

Abstract: Objectives: Our work assessed the prevalence of co-infections in patients with SARS-CoV-2. Methods: All patients hospitalized in a Parisian hospital during the first wave of COVID-19 were tested by mPCR if they presented ILI symptoms. Results: A total of 806 patients (21%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2, 755 (20%) were positive for other respiratory viruses. Among the SARS-CoV-2 positive patients, 49 (6%) had viral co-infections. They presented similar age, symptoms, except for fever (p=0.013) and headaches (p=0.048), than single SARS-CoV-2 infections. Conclusions: SARS-CoV-2 infected patients presenting viral co-infections had similar clinical characteristics and prognosis than patients solely infected with SARS-CoV-2.

Pulmonary bacterial infections in patients hospitalized for COVID-19: a retrospective observational study (preprint)

Backround During the COVID-19 pandemic, antibiotics use was very common. However, bacterial co/secondary infections with coronaviruses remain largely unknown, especially outside of intensive care. The aim of this study was to investigate the pulmonary bacterial infections characteristics associated with COVID-19 in hospitalized patients.Methods A retrospective monocentric observational study was conducted in Bichat hospital in France, between February 26 and April 22, 2020. All patients hospitalized in standard wards with COVID-19 (positive nasopharyngeal PCR and/or typical aspect on CT scan) and diagnosed with a pulmonary bacterial infection (positive bacteriological samples) were included. Bacteriological and clinical data were collected from the microbiology laboratories and the patient's medical records.Results Twenty-three bacteriological samples from 22 patients were positive out of 2075 screened samples (1.1%) from 784 patients (2.8%). Bacterial infection occurred with a median of ten days after COVID-19 onset. Diagnosis of pulmonary bacterial infection was suspected on the increase of oxygen requirements (20/22), productive cough or modification of sputum (17/22), or fever (10/22). Positive samples included 13 sputum cultures, one Film Array® on sputum, one bronchoalveolar lavage, six blood cultures and two pneumococcal antigenuria. The most frequent bacteria were Pseudomonas aeruginosa (6/23), Staphylococcus aureus (5/23), Streptococcus pneumoniae (4/23), Enterococcus faecalis (3/23) and Klebsiella aerogenes (3/23). No Legionella antigenuria was positive. Four out of 496 nasopharyngeal PCR (0.8%) were positive for intracellular bacteria (two Bordetella pertussis and two Mycoplasma pneumonia).Conclusions Pulmonary bacterial secondary infections and co-infections with SARS-CoV-2 are uncommon. Antibiotic use should remain limited in the management of COVID-19.

Persistence of Sera Neutralizing Activity Six Month after Hospitalization for COVID-19 (preprint)

Background: SARS-CoV-2 induces a humoral response with seroconversion occurring within the first weeks after COVID-19 disease. Those antibodies exert a neutralizing activity against SARS-CoV-2, whose evolution overtime after COVID-19 is however unknown.Methods: In this monocentric prospective study, sera of 107 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were collected at 3 months and 6 months post-infection. We performed quantitative neutralization experiments on top of high-throughput serological assays evaluating anti-Spike (S) and anti-Nucleocapsid (NP) IgG.Findings: Levels of sero-neutralization decreased significantly over study time, as well as IgG rates. After 6 months, 2.8% of the patients had a negative serological status for both anti-S and anti-NP IgG. However, all sera had a persistent and effective neutralizing effect on SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing assays. IgG levels correlated with sero-neutralization and this correlation was stronger for anti-S than for anti-NP antibodies. The level of sero-neutralization quantified at 6 months correlated with markers of initial severity, notably admission in intensive care units and the need for mechanical invasive ventilation.Interpretation: Decrease of IgG rates and serological assays becoming negative did not imply loss of neutralizing capacity in our patients. Those results are encouraging and in favor of sustained humoral response for at least 6 months in patients previously hospitalized for COVID-19, which will have to be considered in global deployment of vaccination strategy.Trial Registration: The French Covid cohort (NCT04262921)Funding Statement: The French COVID cohort is funding by the REACTing (REsearch & ACtion emergING infectious diseases) consortium and by a grant of the French Ministry of Health (PHRC n°20-0424).Outside the submitted work, JSH is supported by AP-HP, INSERM, the French National Research Agency (NADHeart ANR-17-CE17-0015-02, PACIFIC ANR-18-CE14-0032-01, CORRECT_LMNA ANR-19-CE17-0013-02), the ERA-Net-CVD (ANR-16-ECVD-0011-03, Clarify project), Fédération Française de Cardiologie, the Fondation pour la Recherche Médicale, and by a grant from the Leducq Foundation (18CVD05), and is coordinating a French PIA Project (2018-PSPC-07, PACIFIC-preserved, BPIFrance) and a University Research Federation against heart failure (FHU2019, PREVENT_Heart Failure). JG reports personal fees from ViiV Healthcare, Gilead Science, Janssen Cilag, and research grants from Gilead Sciences, MSD and ViiV Healthcare, outside the submitted work.Declaration of Interests: Authors have nothing to disclose. There are no relationships with industry.Ethics Approval Statement: The French Covid cohort (NCT04262921) is a prospective multi-center observational cohort sponsored by Inserm which was authorized by the French Ethics Committee CPP Ile-de-France VI (ID RCB:2020-A00256-33).

SARS-CoV-2 N-antigenemia: A new alternative to nucleic acid amplification techniques (preprint)

Background. Molecular assays on nasopharyngeal swabs remain the cornerstone of COVID-19 diagnostic. Despite massive worldwide efforts, the high technicalities of nasopharyngeal sampling and molecular assays, as well as scarce resources of reagents, limit our testing capabilities. Several strategies failed, to date, to fully alleviate this testing process (e.g. saliva sampling or antigen testing on nasopharyngeal samples). We assessed the performances of a new ELISA microplate assay quantifying SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antigen (N-antigen) in serum or plasma. Methods. The specificity of the assay, determined on 63 non-COVID patients, was 98.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85.3 to 100). Performances were determined on 227 serum samples from 165 patients with RT-PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection included in the French COVID and CoV-CONTACT cohorts. Findings. Sensitivity was 132/142, 93.0% (95% CI, 84.7 to 100), within the first two weeks after symptoms onset. A subset of 73 COVID-19 patients had a serum collected within 24 hours following or preceding a positive nasopharyngeal swab. Among patients with high nasopharyngeal viral loads, Ct value below 30 and 33, only 1/50 and 4/67 tested negative for N-antigenemia, respectively. Among patients with a negative nasopharyngeal RT-PCR, 8/12 presented positive N-antigenemia. The lower respiratory tract was explored for 6/8 patients, showing positive PCR in 5 cases. Interpretation. This is the first demonstration of the N-antigen antigenemia during COVID-19. Its detection presented a robust sensitivity, especially within the first 14 days after symptoms onset and high nasopharyngeal viral loads. These findings have to be confirmed with higher representation of outpatients. This approach could provide a valuable new option for COVID-19 diagnosis, only requiring a blood draw and easily scalable in all clinical laboratories.

Outcome of SARS-CoV-2 infection linked to MAIT cell activation and cytotoxicity: evidence for an IL-18 dependent mechanism (preprint)

Immune system dysfunction is paramount in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and fatality rate. Mucosal-Associated Invariant T (MAIT) cells are innate-like T cells involved in mucosal immunity and protection against viral infections. Here, we studied the immune cell landscape, with emphasis on MAIT cells, in a cohort of 182 patients including patients at various stages of disease activity. A profound decrease of MAIT cell counts in blood of critically ill patients was observed. These cells showed a strongly activated and cytotoxic phenotype that positively correlated with circulating pro-inflammatory cytokines, notably IL-18. MAIT cell alterations markedly correlated with disease severity and patient mortality. SARS-CoV-2-infected macrophages activated MAIT cells in a cytokine-dependent manner involving an IFN-dependent early phase and an IL-18-induced later phase. Therefore, altered MAIT cell phenotypes represent valuable biomarkers of disease severity and their therapeutic manipulation might prevent the inflammatory phase involved in COVID-19 aggravation.

Clinical Impact of Molecular Point-of-Care Testing for Suspected COVID-19 in Hospital: A Prospective, Interventional, Non-Randomised, Controlled Study (COV-19POC) (preprint)

Background: The management of the COVID-19 pandemic is hampered by the long delays associated with centralised laboratory PCR testing. In hospitals this leads to poor patient flow and nosocomial transmission. Rapid, accurate tests are therefore urgently needed for the next wave. Methods: We performed a prospective, interventional, non-randomised, controlled study of molecular point-of-care testing (POCT) in adults presenting to hospital with suspected COVID-19. Intervention group patients were tested using the QIAstat-Dx Respiratory SARS-CoV-2 Panel at the point-of-care and control patients were tested using laboratory PCR. The primary outcome was time to results. Secondary outcomes included infection control and diagnostic accuracy measures. Findings: 499 patients were tested by POCT and 555 control patients were tested using laboratory PCR. Median (IQR) time to results with POCT was 1.7 (1.6 to 1.9) hours versus 21.3 (16.0 to 27.9) hours in the control group (difference of 19.6 hours, 95%CI 19.0 to 20.3; p<0.0001). Median (IQR) time to arrival in definitive clinical area (i.e. COVID-19 positive or negative ward) was 8.0 (6.0 to 15.0) hours in the POCT group versus 28.8 (23.5 to 38.9) hours in the control group, difference of 20.8 hours (96%CI 18.4 to 21.2; p<0.0001). Sensitivity of the QIAstat-Dx SARS-CoV-2 assay was 99.4% (95%CI 96.9 to 100) compared to 88.1% (95%CI 82.4 to 92.5) with laboratory PCR.Interpretation: POCT was associated with large reductions in time to results and improvements in infection control measures, and had high diagnostic accuracy.Trial Registration: This study is registered ISRCTN:14966673 and has completed.Funding: University Hospitals Southampton NHS Foundation TrustDeclaration of Interests: TWC has received speaker fees, honoraria, travel reimbursement, and equipment and consumables free of charge for the purposes of research outside of this submitted study, from BioFire diagnostics LLC and BioMerieux. TWC has received consultancy fees from Synairgen research Ltd, Randox laboratories Ltd and Cidara therapeutics. He a member of an advisory board for Roche and a member of two independent data monitoring committees for trials sponsored by Roche. He has acted as the UK chief investigator for an IMP study sponsored by Janssen. All other authors have completed the Unified Competing Interest form (available on request from the corresponding author) and declare: no support from any organisation for the submitted work no financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years, no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work. Ethics Approval Statement: The study was approved by the South Central - Hampshire A Research Ethics Committee: REC reference 20/SC/0138, on the 16th March 2020.

Multicenter comparison of the Cobas 6800 system with the RealStar RT-PCR kit for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 (preprint)

BackgroundRT-PCR testing is crucial in the diagnostic of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The use of reliable and comparable PCR assays is a cornerstone to allow use of different PCR assays depending on the local equipment. In this work, we provide a comparison of the Cobas(R) (Roche) and the RealStar(R) assay (Altona). MethodsAssessment of the two assays was performed prospectively in three reference Parisians hospitals, using 170 clinical samples. They were tested with the Cobas(R) assay, selected to obtain a distribution of cycle threshold (Ct) as large as possible, and tested with the RealStar assay with three largely available extraction platforms: QIAsymphony (Qiagen), MagNAPure (Roche) and NucliSENS-easyMag (BioMerieux). ResultsOverall, the agreement (positive for at least one gene) was 76%. This rate differed considerably depending on the Cobas Ct values for gene E: below 35 (n = 91), the concordance was 99%. Regarding the positive Ct values, linear regression analysis showed a determination correlation (R2) of 0.88 and the Deming regression line revealed a strong correlation with a slope of 1.023 and an intercept of -3.9. Bland-Altman analysis showed that the mean difference (Cobas(R) minus RealStar(R)) was + 3.3 Ct, with a SD of + 2.3 Ct. ConclusionsIn this comparison, both RealStar(R) and Cobas(R) assays provided comparable qualitative results and a high correlation when both tests were positive. Discrepancies exist after 35 Ct and varied depending on the extraction system used for the RealStar(R) assay, probably due to a low viral load close to the detection limit of both assays.

High-sensitivity COVID-19 group testing by digital PCR (preprint)

Background: Worldwide demand for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing is increasing as more countries are impacted by COVID-19 and as testing remains central to contain the spread of the disease, both in countries where the disease is emerging and in countries that are past the first wave but exposed to re-emergence. Group testing has been proposed as a solution to expand testing capabilities but sensitivity concerns have limited its impact on the management of the pandemic. Digital PCR (RT-dPCR) has been shown to be more sensitive than RT-PCR and could help in this context. Methods: We implemented RT-dPCR based COVID-19 group testing on commercially available system and assay (Naica System from Stilla Technologies) and investigated the sensitivity of the method in real life conditions of a university hospital in Paris, France, in May 2020. We tested the protocol in a direct comparison with reference RT-PCR testing on 448 samples split into groups of 3 sizes for RT-dPCR analysis: 56 groups of 8 samples, 28 groups of 16 samples and 14 groups of 32 samples. Results: Individual RT-PCR testing identified 25 positive samples. Using groups of 8, testing by RT-dPCR identified 23 groups as positive, corresponding to 26 true positive samples including 2 samples not initially detected by individual RT-PCR but confirmed positive by further RT-PCR and RT-dPCR investigation. For groups of 16, 15 groups tested positive, corresponding to 25 true positive samples identified. 100% concordance is found for groups of 32 but with limited data points.

Observer agreement and clinical significance of chest CT reporting in patients suspected of COVID-19 (preprint)

Objectives: To assess inter-observer agreement and clinical significance of chest CT reporting in patients suspected of COVID-19. Methods: From 16th to 24th March 2020, 241 consecutive patients addressed to hospital for COVID-19 suspicion had both chest CT and SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR. Eight observers (2 thoracic and 2 general senior radiologists, 2 junior radiologists and 2 emergency physicians) retrospectively categorized each CT into one out of 3 categories (evocative, compatible for COVID-19 pneumonia, and not evocative or normal). Observer agreement for categorization between all readers and pairs of readers with similar experience was evaluated with the Kappa coefficient. The results of a consensus categorization were correlated to RT-PCR. Results: Observer agreement across the 3 categories was good between all readers (kappa value 0.68 95%CI 0.67-0.70) and good to very good between pairs of readers (0.64-0.85). It was very good (0.81 95%CI 0.79-0.83), fair (0.32 95%CI 0.29-0.34) and good (0.74 95%CI 0.71-0.76) for the categories evocative, compatible and not evocative or normal, respectively. RT-PCR was positive in 97%, 50% and 27% of cases classified in the respective categories. Observer agreement was lower (p=0.045) and RT-PCR positive cases were less frequently categorized evocative in presence of an underlying pulmonary disease (p<0.001). Conclusion: Inter-observer agreement for chest CT reporting using categorization of findings is good in patients suspected of COVID-19. Among patients considered for hospitalization in an epidemic context, CT categorized evocative is highly predictive of COVID-19, whereas the predictive value of CT decreases between the categories compatible and not evocative.